Triumphs & Disasters
Here the collapses and the frauds stand beside the genuine milestones.
Primary government and regulatory documents (DOJ indictments, SEC releases, court filings) · official announcements · verifiable block heights.
Across more than fifteen years, which events were genuine progress, and where did the losses really come from — the protocol itself, or the institutions holding people’s assets?
Milestone — an event marking progress at the protocol or institutional level; Loss or failure — an event causing loss of user assets or the failure of an institution; Division — the community split over the rules themselves; we present each side and do not judge who was right. Figures are generally valuations at the time, for historical reference only, not investment advice.
The Early Years & the First Collapses
2010–2016Bitcoin Pizza Day
On May 18, 2010, Laszlo Hanyecz posted on the bitcointalk forum offering 10,000 BTC for two pizzas. On May 22 a user called jercos took him up on it and actually had them delivered. It is the first widely documented purchase of physical goods with Bitcoin — until then it was only a number that could travel across a network. The community now marks the date each year as Bitcoin Pizza Day.
The Pizza Index (interactive)
The First Collapses & the First Milestones
In its first six years the system endured both severe failures and important growth. Almost all of the collapses in this period happened at centralized custodians such as exchanges and platforms, while the Bitcoin protocol itself, apart from a 2010 overflow bug fixed within hours, was never broken.
The Seizure of Silk Road
The FBI arrested Ross Ulbricht, shut down the darknet market and seized a large quantity of BTC. It is one of the most significant law-enforcement milestones in cryptocurrency history, and it sustained the "Bitcoin equals crime" narrative for years. Ulbricht received a presidential pardon in January 2025.
The Collapse of Mt. Gox
An exchange that once handled most of the world’s Bitcoin volume ceased trading and went bankrupt after roughly 850,000 BTC went missing (about 200,000 were later recovered). Measured in BTC lost, it remains, as of September 2026, the industry’s largest custodial failure, and it brought home to many that coins left with someone else are no longer an asset they can verify themselves.
The Ethereum Crowdsale
31,591 BTC (about US$18.4 million) raised in 42 days, among the first large ICOs. It proved one thing: a protocol could raise its startup capital directly from users worldwide, with no institution vouching for it.
The DAO Hack & Ethereum’s Hard Fork
A reentrancy bug drained roughly 3.6 million ETH. The community split over whether to roll it back: the majority hard-forked on July 20, 2016, into what is now Ethereum (ETH), while those who insisted that code is law continued the original chain as Ethereum Classic (ETC). The split left a question still debated today: is immutability a technical property, or a choice?
The Bitfinex Hack
About 119,754 BTC were stolen. Six years later, in 2022, the US Department of Justice arrested Lichtenstein and Morgan and recovered about 94,000 BTC (Lichtenstein later admitted he had carried out the 2016 hack himself) — the very openness of on-chain tracing eventually became a tool of law enforcement.
Mania & Schism
2017–2018The block size debate
Between 2015 and 2017 the Bitcoin community split over the block size limit (then 1MB). Those arguing to raise the limit held that larger blocks were needed to carry growing on-chain payment demand and keep fees low. Those arguing to keep it held that raising the limit would drive up the cost of running a full node, eroding the ability of individuals to verify independently and concentrating verification in a few institutions. On August 1, 2017 (block 478558) the side favoring a higher limit launched a separate chain, Bitcoin Cash, by hard fork, without Segregated Witness and with the block limit raised to 8MB. On August 24, 2017 (block 481824) Segregated Witness (SegWit, BIP 141) activated on the Bitcoin main chain — by moving signature data outside the original 1MB count, it added capacity without raising the limit, the route the keep-the-limit side chose. Both chains run to this day.
The fullest account of the dispute is Jonathan Bier’s The Blocksize War (2021), listed in Culture & the Future; the related open question of scaling routes appears on that hall’s Open Questions Wall.
CME Futures Launch and the BitConnect Collapse
The price mania of late 2017 brought two things at once: mainstream finance opened a front door to Bitcoin for the first time, and the frauds born of the bubble surfaced en masse for the first time.
CME Launches Bitcoin Futures
A week after Cboe launched the first regulated BTC futures on December 10, 2017, CME, the world’s largest futures exchange, listed BTC futures on December 17; around the same time BTC approached US$20,000 for the first time. It gave regulated finance its first route into bitcoin, six years before spot ETFs.
The BitConnect Collapse
A "crypto lending platform" promising high fixed returns collapsed in January 2018. The US SEC filed suit in September 2021 alleging a roughly US$2 billion fraud, and in February 2022 the DOJ indicted its founder over an alleged US$2.4 billion Ponzi scheme; Satish Kumbhani remains a fugitive and has yet to stand trial.
Sovereignty · Upgrades · Token Collapses
20212021: The Most Crowded Year
Within a single year Bitcoin was made legal tender by one country, had its mining banned outright by another, and completed a major protocol upgrade (Taproot); Ethereum overhauled its fee mechanism; and the same year saw a widely covered token scam. Set side by side, they show how complex the technology’s environment was.
China’s Mining Ban & the Great Hashpower Migration
China banned mining outright, forcing what was then nearly half the network’s hashpower to relocate across borders within months, and North America’s share jumped accordingly. Network hashpower briefly halved — and the network did not stop for a single day, as difficulty adjustment automatically pulled block times back to ten minutes.
EIP-1559 · The London Upgrade
Ethereum reformed its gas fee mechanism and introduced base-fee burning, so that part of every fee is destroyed permanently rather than paid to miners. Authors include Buterin, Conner and Dudley. It changed both Ethereum’s fee experience and its monetary policy.
El Salvador’s Bitcoin Law
Effective September 7, 2021, it made El Salvador the first sovereign state to give bitcoin legal-tender status. In January 2025, under an IMF loan agreement, El Salvador’s legislature amended the law: the requirement that merchants accept bitcoin was removed, in effect ending its legal-tender status. Actual adoption and economic effects remained disputed as of September 2026.
Taproot Activation
Bitcoin’s most significant upgrade since SegWit, activated at block 709632. It introduced Schnorr signatures and improved privacy and smart-contract capability. Authored by Wuille and others (BIPs 340/341/342). Note too that it paved the way for Ordinals (inscribing images, text and other data onto Bitcoin) — a use still disputed today.
The Squid Game Token (SQUID) Liquidity Removal
A token issued off the back of a hit television series, promoted for a play-to-earn game, whose code restricted holders from selling. After the price rose, the project addresses pulled the funds out of the liquidity pool, leaving the token impossible to exchange for money, and the website and social accounts were taken down. Reported on-chain outflows range from about US$2.5 million to US$3.38 million; as of September 2026 the operators had not been publicly identified.
The Reckoning & Institutionalization
2022–2024The Reckoning of 2022
In 2022 the industry paid for two years of leverage. The collapses of Terra, Celsius, Three Arrows Capital and FTX stemmed from design flaws, opaque operations or misappropriation by projects and centralized institutions, not from errors in the blockchain ledgers themselves; in the same year, Ethereum completed The Merge.
The Terra / LUNA Collapse
The algorithmic stablecoin UST held its one-dollar value not with dollar reserves but by being swappable for LUNA at any time. When UST lost its peg, mass swaps triggered a death spiral of unlimited LUNA issuance; value fell to almost nothing within a week and tens of billions of dollars evaporated. It is the definitive case of algorithmic-stablecoin design failure.
Celsius & Three Arrows Capital
The lending platform Celsius froze withdrawals and went bankrupt, and the hedge fund Three Arrows Capital was liquidated, triggering industry-wide deleveraging. Users handed coins to a platform in exchange for interest and had no way to check who the platform had lent them to — a contemporary rerun of "trusted third parties are security holes".
The Merge
Amid the same year’s wreckage, Ethereum completed its migration to proof-of-stake, cutting energy use by roughly 99.95%. As the market fell, a years-long engineering upgrade shipped on schedule. Technical detail is in the World Computer unit of Everything On-Chain.
The Failure of FTX
Once a leading crypto exchange, it collapsed into bankruptcy within days on misappropriation of customer funds and a liquidity crisis, leaving a shortfall of some US$8 billion. Its founder, SBF, was convicted of fraud and other charges and sentenced to 25 years. The court found that the core offense was the misappropriation of customer funds. Seen another way, it was one of the most traditional kinds of financial fraud: the problem lay with a centralized institution, not with blockchain technology itself.
- UST falls below $1De-peg
- UST swapped for LUNA en masseRedeemed at $1
- LUNA supply balloonsIts price falls
- Confidence in UST erodesMore people redeem
- ↻ Back to step one, faster each loop: near zero within a week
Institutionalization · 2024
Two years after the reckoning, Bitcoin entered regulated mainstream finance, a world it had kept at arm’s length for fifteen years. The same year, the fourth halving arrived on schedule, untouched by the turmoil outside.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs Approved
The US SEC approved the first eleven spot Bitcoin ETFs (from issuers including BlackRock and Fidelity), opening a channel for regulated capital. In a statement the same day, SEC Chair Gensler said the approval was not an endorsement of Bitcoin itself and warned investors of the risks.
The Fourth Halving
At block 840,000 the reward fell from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC. No announcement, no meeting, no vote — a single rule shipped with the first release in 2009 executed itself. It is verifiable on-chain by anyone.
Running Throughout · The Lightning Network
Beneath all the collapses and manias above, one thread advanced quietly the whole time. In February 2015 Joseph Poon and Thaddeus Dryja released the first draft of the Lightning Network paper (revised as version 0.5.9.2 in January 2016): handle transactions through off-chain payment channels and settle on-chain only when opening and closing them, making instant, low-fee small payments possible. It generates no headlines, but it answers the practical question Pizza Day left behind — whether Bitcoin can actually be used to buy things.
Read alongside Ethereum’s rollup route in the New Organizations, Scaling & Many Chains unit of Everything On-Chain: faced with the same problem of a mainnet too slow and too expensive, Bitcoin chose payment channels and Ethereum chose rollups. Poon also co-authored the Plasma paper.
Key Facts
- Mt. Gox lost about 850,000 BTC in 2014.
- The DAO lost over 3.6M ETH in 2016, causing the ETH/ETC fork.
- Terra/LUNA collapsed in May 2022, causing investor losses of more than US$40B.
- FTX went bankrupt in Nov 2022, with a ~US$8B shortfall.
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved 2024-01-10 (first 11 funds).
